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The Super Accelerator Model, and Up/Down Trend Model ...

Super Accelerator Model:  Many of our investors are longer term, conservative investors for which we use our Super Accelerator Model.  The Super Accelerator Model is conservative, and has an average of 3 signals a year ... and it catches the big moves as you will see. 

There are two elements to the Super Accelerator Model: a. A proprietary, longer term, Super Accelerator Indicator, and b. a (Short Term) S.T. Accelerator. 

a. The main component is the Super Accelerator at the top of the chart we posted below.  When the Red/Blue Super Accelerator lines cross over and trend down, that is a signal that the current trend is under distribution.  When crossing over the to upside, it indicates accumulation is occurring.

b. The problem that  technical analyst have with trend lines, is that they never really know for sure where to draw them.  This Model takes away that dilemma.  By drawing a trend line when the S.T. Accelerator is just starting to cross over its horizontal signal line, we get a good trend line that is often a buy or sell signal 1day earlier than the actual Super Accelerator cross over.  If you look closely at the trend lines on the S&P below, there were 7 such cases.  This gives faster traders the ability to know when a trend reversal is "just occurring".  The chart below covers December 2003 to February 2005.

The Super Accelerator is made available to Standard Subscribers (Long positions only), only when the market is trending up. Advanced Subscribers, who also short the market, get the Super Accelerator updates when there is a shorting condition, along with Selling Pressure Modeling so that they know the shorting conditions and "risk differential" in a short move. See the next chart ...

But, how does one know for sure that a Super Accelerator Buy or Sell Signal has the support of underlying market fundamentals such as Liquidity flowing into the stock market, strength, trending, and strong enough acceleration?

Up/Down Trending Model: In early 2007, we developed our Up/Down Trending Model.  It measures all the important factors mentioned above.  Many stock market analyst use the same old model year after year.  You can't do that anymore. Things have changed ... the Fed is playing a more proactive role and will continue that strategy, so investors must follow the Liquidity flowing into and out of the market.  You have to get and process through more data, because the market is becoming more complex with the interaction of international stock markets like China, interest rates, sub-prime problems and a host of other influences. 

It is why I diligently spend at least 20 hours per month on new research and development.  The Up/Down Trending Model is an example of the fruits of that labor.

The Up/Down Trending Model explained:  The Up/Down Trending model measures 4 important characteristics of the stock market: Liquidity, underlying Strength, Up/Down Trending action, and Acceleration as explained below.

a.).  It measures the amount of Liquidity.  Long Term Liquidity is a measurement of Liquidity Injections flowing into the market from M3 and Foreign sources. Liquidity Expansion means that money inflows are at an expansionary rate which drives the market up. Decelerating Expansion is when the rate of inflows are decreasing while still net positive. Liquidity Contraction means that money inflows are being withdrawn from the markets at a level which is "net negative", and when this happens, the contraction results in a correction or pull back.  This can be seen in the top graph in the chart below.

b.) The Strength Model is in the 3rd. graph on the chart. There are 2 signals from this model.  The early signal is the solid blue vertical line (label 1) which occurs when the light red line crosses over the blue after a large dip into negative territory.  The confirming and stronger signal happens at the blue dotted line (label 2) when the light red line crosses over thick red line.  Without waiting for the second confirming signal, you can face a pullback or be in a higher risk trade.  Conservative investors like waiting for the second signal, more aggressive investors like taking the first signal.  The second signal has less risk.

c.)  The Up/Down Trending Model in the 4th. graph gives a back up confirmation to the Strength's 1st. and 2nd. signals... and d.) The Hybrid Accelerator gives us a confirming up trend that is validated if its fast green indicator is in high territory. 

But ... what else do you need to know?

One thing is really different about StockTiming.com.  When subscribers call, a common reaction is this: "Wow ... a real person answered!"  We answer all incoming calls or return the call if we are on the phone. I personally answer about a third of the calls.  Why?  Because this service is really for our investors and I take their comments to heart.

A recent example occurred on the week of September 17th., 2007.  Everyday, I post as many as 17 chart analyses and charts on what is happening "under the hood" of the market.  In this way, our subscribers really know and understand what is "going on in the market" with similar information that the big Institutional Investors have.   (We even report on what Institutional investors are doing in terms of Accumulation and Distribution.)

In that particular week, some subscribers told me that they didn't have time to look at the charts on underlying, fundamental conditions.  So we immediately started posting a "quick overview" matrix chart on the important fundamental conditions that were behind the market's movements.  This saved them time they didn't have in order to have an understanding of what was going on in the market, at a level that most investors never see.  The result was, that we started posting the comparative update synopsis as seen below.  This synopsis was posted on September 27th., 2007:

I hope this overview gives you a partial idea of what we do every day for subscribers like you.

Statistics about the Super Accelerator Model ...

Be Sure also see these links:
MarketTrackerA and MarketTrackerB
for the Market Performance Study conducted by Paul Hooper of Markettracker.com

* New Subscribers ... Please Note: We have set a limit of 5,000 subscribers.  Subscriber Status is currently still available.  After we reach our limit, new applying subscribers will be put on a waiting lists for the next available opening.  We disagree with the policy of other Investing Newsletters who have 30,000 or more subscribers.  We believe that true Investing advantages are lost when everybody has the same information of what stocks to invest in.